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☆ Morgan Stanley's Zentner: Still have strong conviction that the Fed will cut three times this year
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMorgan Stanley's Zentner: Still have strong conviction that the Fed will cut three times this yearEllen Zentner, Morgan Stanley chief U.S. economist, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss signs Zentner is seeing that reinforce their economic view, the struggle with survey work that takes a long time to work its way through the economy, and more.

Persons: Morgan Stanley's Zentner, Ellen Zentner, Morgan Stanley

☆ Fed Chair Powell is 'running a risk' of inflation rising again, economist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed Chair Powell is 'running a risk' of inflation rising again, economist saysSteven Blitz, chief U.S. economist at TS Lombard, discusses the outlook for U.S. inflation and Federal Reserve monetary policy.

Persons: Powell, Steven Blitz Organizations: TS Lombard, Federal Reserve

☆ Live Updates: Inflation Cooled Slightly, Offering Some Relief for Consumers and the Fed
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-15 | by ( Ben Casselman | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +6 min

But economists cautioned that one month of encouraging data was far from enough to set those worries to rest. Both overall and core prices rose 0.3 percent from the previous month, down from 0.4 percent in February and March. The encouraging inflation report on Wednesday is unlikely to change those expectations. The report is also likely to be met with relief at the White House after what has been a rough recent run of inflation data for President Biden. Gasoline prices rose a seasonally adjusted 2.8 percent in April from March.

Persons: “, ”, Stephen Stanley, there’s, Sarah House, Biden, Jerome H, Powell, we’re, Blerina Uruci, Rowe Price, Jeanna Smialek, Jim Tankersley Organizations: Labor Department, Federal Reserve, Santander, White, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Fed Locations: Wells Fargo, Amsterdam, Federal Reserve Bank of New York

☆ Inflation Moderated Slightly in April, Offering Some Relief for Consumers
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-15 | by ( Ben Casselman | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

The Consumer Price Index climbed 3.4 percent in April from a year earlier, down from 3.5 percent in March, the Labor Department said on Wednesday. It was the lowest annual increase in core inflation since early 2021. Economists cautioned that one month of encouraging data was far from enough to put those worries to rest. But they said that the data should ease concerns, at least for now, that inflation is re-accelerating. Both overall and core prices rose 0.3 percent from the previous month, down from 0.4 percent in February and March.

Persons: ”, Stephen Stanley Organizations: Labor Department, Federal Reserve, Santander

☆ Travel spending not slowing down anytime soon, says Michelle Meyer
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTravel spending not slowing down anytime soon, says Michelle MeyerMichelle Meyer, chief U.S. economist at Mastercard Economics Institute, joins CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss travel spending trends, what new Mastercard data shows about the strength of the consumer, and more.

Persons: Michelle Meyer Michelle Meyer Organizations: Mastercard Economics Institute, Mastercard

☆ Wall Street is confused and divided over how many times the Fed will cut rates this year
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-02 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Wall Street reacted Thursday to this week's Fed meeting, with forecasts scattered across a range of outcomes for where monetary policy heads next. Most economists for the biggest forecasting firms expect the central bank to lower benchmark interest rates sometime later this year. Goldman left in place its call for two rate cuts this year of a quarter percentage point each, with one in July and the other in November. "If inflation comes in stronger than in our baseline, we would expect the first rate cut to be postponed to December," he wrote. For 2025, we continue to expect four rate cuts."

Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Mericle, Powell, Goldman, Andrew Hollenhorst, Morgan Stanley, Ellen Zentner, Marc Giannoni, Michael Gapen, Michael Bloom Organizations: Fed, Futures, Group, Citigroup, Barclays, Bank of America

☆ HSBC's Ryan Wang: Expecting 75 basis points of rate cuts this year
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHSBC's Ryan Wang: Expecting 75 basis points of rate cuts this yearRyan Wang, HSBC chief U.S. economist, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss why Wang believes the Federal Reserve could cut rates in June, whether the Fed needs more evidence to cut rates, and what could set the table for a wave of layoffs.

Persons: HSBC's Ryan Wang, Ryan Wang, Wang Organizations: HSBC

☆ Here's why JPMorgan's Michael Feroli still expects three rate cuts this year
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHere's why JPMorgan's Michael Feroli still expects three rate cuts this yearMichael Feroli, JPMorgan chief U.S. economist, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss the Fed ahead of its meeting tomorrow and how the rate decision could impact the markets.

Persons: Michael Feroli Organizations: JPMorgan

☆ Buy this 'dirt-cheap,' top-rated dividend stock with a 4% yield, Morningstar says
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-29 | by ( Weizhen Tan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

There's one dividend stock that Morningstar says is "deeply undervalued" right now and which it's bullish on for the long term. "Yet we're bullish on this undervalued stock for the long term. Goldstein noted that FMC's products lean toward insecticides, which generate over half of its revenue. According to FactSet, FMC has an indicated annual dividend yield of 4% for 2024. "FMC stock looks deeply undervalued, trading at half of what we think it's worth," Goldstein added.

Persons: Morningstar, Seth Goldstein, Goldstein, Morningstar's, Dave Sekera Organizations: Morningstar, FMC Locations: FactSet

☆ Stock futures are little changed following S&P 500's best week since November: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-28 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

S&P 500 futures inched higher Sunday night as the broad index came off its best week in several months. Traders are looking ahead to a week with more corporate earnings, key labor data and a Federal Reserve meeting. The S&P 500 jumped 2.7%, notching its best week since November and breaking a three-week negative streak. "However, during the past few weeks, the driver of rates has shifted from better growth tohawkish monetary policy concerns, which has been more difficult for stocks to digest." Monetary policy will take center stage later in the week, with the Fed set to release its latest interest rate announcement on Wednesday.

Persons: David Kostin, Goldman Sachs, Jerome Powell, April's nonfarm Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Traders, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Dow, Apple Locations: April's

☆ 'The Fed is giving us a gift by keeping rates high,' says Greenwich Wealth's Vahan Janjigian
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email'The Fed is giving us a gift by keeping rates high,' says Greenwich Wealth's Vahan JanjigianVahan Janjigian, CIO of Greenwich Wealth Management, Marc Giannoni, chief U.S. economist at Barclays, and CNBC's Steve Liesman join 'The Exchange' to discuss the potential for rate cuts, outlooks on economic data, and more.

Persons: Janjigian, Marc Giannoni, Steve Liesman Organizations: Greenwich, Greenwich Wealth Management, Barclays

☆ Earnings will continue to be the market driver in 2024, says Ned Davis Research's Ed Clissold
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEarnings will continue to be the market driver in 2024, says Ned Davis Research's Ed ClissoldEd Clissold, Ned Davis Research chief U.S. strategist, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss the moves in today's trading day.

Persons: Ned Davis, Ed Clissold Ed Clissold Organizations: Ned Davis Research

☆ Slowing growth plus stubborn inflation add up to a headache for Fed officials
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-25 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The slowing growth and stubborn inflation picture emerging in the U.S. economy may not be quite a nightmare scenario for the Federal Reserve, but it at least could make for some restless sleep. Markets had been looking for the string of good readings dating back to mid-2022 to continue, with economists estimating real GDP growth of 2.4% and inflation readings around 3%. What it got was essentially what some on Wall Street called the worst of both worlds, with weakening growth and stubborn price pressures. The Fed will get a more granular look at PCE data on Friday when the Commerce Department releases the monthly figures for March. "We still think Fed cuts are coming this summer, before inflation has sustainably slowed."

Persons: Matthew Ryan, —, Ryan, Steven Blitz, Veronica Clark Organizations: Federal Reserve, Commerce, Treasury, Commerce Department, TS Lombard, Citigroup, Citi Locations: U.S

☆ Goldman Sachs likes these stocks that are growing profitably
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-25 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

As the equity market's profitability nears its all-time highs, Goldman Sachs recently shared some stocks that could see big growth over the next 12 months. In 2024, Kostin expects margin expansion will continue to support ROE growth. In the same report, Goldman Sachs shared its rebalanced ROE growth basket of stocks, which contains 50 names selected for their expected profit growth over the next 12 months. Rising growth fears, solar compensation cutbacks and rising interest rates sank solar stocks last year, but they've since made a comeback. Consensus estimates for the financials sector reveal that most analysts expect ROE growth to remain flat in the same time period.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, ROE, Kostin, Estée Lauder, Electric's, Goldman, Wells, Janney, Blackstone Organizations: Kostin, Info Tech, Deutsche Bank, GE Aerospace, Communications, Mobile Locations: Wells Fargo, China

☆ U.S. Growth Slowed in First Quarter, but Inflation Remained a Bug
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-25 | by ( Ben Casselman | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

The U.S. economy remained resilient early this year, with a strong job market fueling robust consumer spending. The trouble is that inflation was resilient, too. Gross domestic product, adjusted for inflation, increased at a 1.6 percent annual rate in the first three months of the year, the Commerce Department said on Thursday. That was down sharply from the 3.4 percent growth rate at the end of 2023 and fell well short of forecasters’ expectations. “It would suggest some moderation in growth but still a solid economy,” said Michael Gapen, chief U.S. economist at Bank of America.

Persons: ”, Michael Gapen Organizations: Gross, Commerce Department, Bank of America Locations: U.S

Goldman Sachs' David Kostin expects earnings will be higher this year even amid concerns of margin pressures in the face of higher inflation. Of those companies, Kostin noted, roughly two-thirds have topped expectations on the bottom line, while about one-third beat estimates on the top line. "What that suggests to us is that companies are able and demonstrating the ability to kind of squeak over a little bit margin," Kostin told CNBC's "Squawk on the Street" on Tuesday. The chief U.S. equity strategist said he anticipates inflation will eventually move lower this year, and interest rates will come down from their highs, helping to drive earnings growth. "Our forecast is that [the] market rises slowly in line with expectations for earnings," Kostin said.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Kostin, CNBC's, Sarah Min

☆ Stock market focus has shifted from inflation to earnings, says Goldman's David Kostin
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStock market focus has shifted from inflation to earnings, says Goldman's David KostinDavid Kostin, Goldman Sachs chief U.S. equity strategist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss if the year is playing out as expected, any reason to doubt upcoming quarters will bring further margin improvement, and more.

Persons: Goldman's David Kostin David Kostin, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Email

☆ BNP Paribas forecasting further disinflation in housing market, says Chief U.S. Economist Riccadonna
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBNP Paribas forecasting further disinflation in housing market, says Chief U.S. Economist RiccadonnaCarl Riccadonna, chief U.S. economist at BNP Paribas, and CNBC's Steve Liesman join 'The Exchange' to share their reactions to the 2Y Treasury auction, outlooks for housing and inflation, and more.

Persons: Riccadonna Carl Riccadonna, Steve Liesman Organizations: BNP, BNP Paribas, Treasury

☆ JPMorgan's Michael Feroli: Still expect the Fed to carry out its first rate cut in July
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJPMorgan's Michael Feroli: Still expect the Fed to carry out its first rate cut in JulyMichael Feroli, JPMorgan chief U.S. economist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss what Feroli made of the latest retail sales data, what to expect from the Federal Reserve, and more.

Persons: Michael Feroli, Feroli Organizations: JPMorgan, Federal Reserve

☆ Retail sales jumped 0.7% in March, much higher than expected
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-15 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Excluding auto-related receipts, retail sales jumped 1.1%, also well ahead of the estimate for a 0.5% increase. An increase in gas prices helped push the headline retail sales number higher, with sales up 2.1% on the month at service stations. Resilient consumer spending has helped keep the economy afloat despite higher interest rates and concerns over stubborn inflation. Consumer spending accounts for nearly 70% of U.S. economic output so it is critical to continued growth in gross domestic product. Stronger consumer spending could cause the Fed to hold off longer on cuts, said Andrew Hunter, deputy chief U.S. economist at Capital Economics.

Persons: Dow, Andrew Hunter, Hunter Organizations: Commerce Department, Labor Department, Sporting, Federal Reserve, Capital Economics Locations: Iran, Israel

☆ Dollar firms, yen skids as Fed cut wagers crumble
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

U.S. one hundred dollar bills are being shown in this picture illustration taken in Buenos Aires, Argentina, on Dec. 15, 2023. Japan intervened in the currency market three times in 2022 as the yen slid toward what was then a 32-year low of 152 to the dollar. The Japanese central bank last month ended eight years of negative interest rates but yen has remained rooted near 151 per dollar levels since then. The euro was last at $1.0744, having dropped 1% on Wednesday ahead of the European Central Bank, or ECB, meeting later in the day. The Australian dollar was little changed at $0.651, while the New Zealand dollar eased 0.17% to $0.598.

Persons: Masato Kanda, Kyle Rodda, Rodda, Kazuo Ueda, Kevin Cummins, Sterling Organizations: Fed, Reuters, Bank of, Bank of Japan, Federal Reserve, U.S, NatWest, Treasury, European Central Bank, ECB, New Zealand Locations: Buenos Aires, Argentina, Tokyo, Japan, Bank of Japan, U.S

☆ Expect first Fed rate cut to come in June, says Citi's Hollenhorst
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailExpect first Fed rate cut to come in June, says Citi's HollenhorstAndrew Hollenhorst, Citi chief U.S. economist, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss the lack of data showing the weakening labor market, the trend on wages, and what could be keeping the economy from recession.

Persons: Citi's Hollenhorst Andrew Hollenhorst Organizations: Citi

☆ Don't sweat the prospect of no Fed rate cuts, economist says — markets will still march higher
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-28 | by ( Sam Meredith | In Samuelmeredith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Federal Reserve Bank Chair Jerome Powell speaks during a news conference at the bank's William McChesney Martin building on March 20, 2024 in Washington, DC. His comments come as investors await the release of further U.S. economic data and closely monitor clues from Fed officials about the expected number of interest rate cuts in 2024. Asked on Thursday about the likelihood of one or no Fed interest rate cuts this year, Blitz said that it's "getting pretty good. Blitz said markets will likely continue to march higher, even if the Fed decides not to impose any interest rate cuts this year — a prospect that U.S. asset manager Vanguard named as their base-case scenario. Christopher Waller, governor of the US Federal Reserve, during a Fed Listens event in Washington, DC, US, on Friday, March 22, 2024.

Persons: Jerome Powell, William McChesney Martin, Chip Somodevilla, Steven Blitz, Blitz, They're, CNBC's, it's, Christopher Waller, Waller, Raphael Bostic, Jerome, Powell Organizations: Bank, Getty, Federal Reserve, TS Lombard, Traders, Fed, Vanguard, Economic, of New, Atlanta Federal Reserve, US Federal Reserve, Bloomberg Locations: Washington ,, U.S, of New York, Atlanta, Washington , DC

☆ Here's why Goldman Sachs maintains its S&P 500 year-end target to 5,200
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHere's why Goldman Sachs maintains its S&P 500 year-end target to 5,200David Kostin, Goldman Sachs chief U.S. equity strategist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss what's most likely for equities, what happens to Kostin's target if there are more or less rate cuts than predicted, and more.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Kostin

☆ Goldman gives 4 scenarios for stocks: One sees S&P 500 rallying to 6,000, another calls for a drop to 4,500
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-25 | by ( John Melloy | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The market's surprising rally has lifted the S & P 500 to Goldman Sachs' year-end target before the first-quarter is even over, so the firm is giving clients various scenarios that could happen from here. If their target ends up being correct and stocks pull back, Goldman recommended clients get long its basket of defensive stocks. The S & P 500 is coming off its best week since December, bringing it to 5,234.18. Catch-down scenario: The S & P 500 falls to 4,500, or down 14% from here, as sales growth estimates prove to be too optimistic, especially for the Magnificent 7 Stocks. "Mega-cap exceptionalism" scenario: The S & P 500 finishes the year at 6,000, or up another 15% from here, where expectations for stocks like Nvidia prove correct and investors take the S & P 500 to 23 price-earnings ratio.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, David Kostin, Kostin Organizations: CNBC Pro, Wall, Nvidia Locations: That's

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